Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation
○ Wiley
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation's content profile, based on 14 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Usatov, I.; Burkanov, V.; Trukhanova, I.; Altukhov, A.; Bowker, A.; Nordstrom, C.; Tucker, S.
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Reliable demographic data are critical for seal population assessment and management, yet remain challenging to obtain from drone surveys without automated tools. Using data from harbor seal (Phoca vitulina) haulout surveys conducted in British Columbia, Canada, in 2023-2024, we developed and tested an automated pipeline that integrates detection, morphometric extraction, and size-class classification of seals into a single system. The pipeline combines cascaded DeepLabV3+ segmentation (water removal, colony-level seal detection, and individual body-contour refinement), principal component analysis (PCA)-based extraction of body length and maximum width, and three-class size-class determination based on body length (pups, juveniles, subadults/adults). We evaluated the pipeline on 2,483 manually annotated seals across four drone platforms (DJI Mavic 3 Thermal, Mavic 2 Pro, Mini 3 Pro and Mini 2), five substrate types, and two sensor modalities (RGB, thermal infrared). Aggregate detection F1 was 0.914. Orthomosaic geometric accuracy, quantified as the RMSE of calibration-rod length on the orthomosaic, ranged from 1.0 cm to 18.0 cm depending on the platform-altitude-substrate combination, a spread that aggregate metrics would mask. Relative to manual annotation on the same orthomosaics, automated RGB body lengths showed near-zero bias (-0.6 cm; RMSE = 12.5 cm), whereas automated thermal lengths were systematically shorter (bias -19.9 cm, RMSE = 24.1 cm), establishing the unsuitability of thermal imagery for automated quantitative pinniped morphometry. For RGB imagery, threshold classification by body length reached an overall accuracy (OA) of 78.7%; for individuals outside the uncertainty zones (defined as {+/-}2 x the geometric RMSE on calibration rods around each class boundary), OA reached 90.9%. Within the RGB subset, OA was 78.9% at 20 m altitude, declining to 75.0% at 40 m where geometric error dominated. The pipeline enables automated demographic monitoring of pinniped haulouts with quantitatively characterized uncertainty across survey conditions.
Randell, Z.; Williams, M.; Thomson, R.; Johnson, K.; McQueen, C.
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(1) Kelp forests support ecologically, commercially, and culturally important species, yet their benthic communities remain difficult to monitor consistently across space and time. Scientific SCUBA surveys provide valuable observations but can be constrained by safety, bottom time, depth, and the spatial extent that divers can efficiently cover, motivating complementary approaches for collecting standardized benthic imagery. (2) We developed and field-tested a standardized, open-source framework for benthic visual-imaging surveys using a small, modular remotely operated vehicle (ROV). Across four cost-scalable hardware configurations, we integrated navigation sensors, custom BlueOS Extensions, and our surftrak contribution to ArduSub, which enables fixed-altitude flight above the seafloor, and developed two open-source desktop applications that streamline field operations (rov_flight_ops) and imagery processing (rov_imagery_processing). We also evaluated power supplies, benthic lighting, camera settings, field protocols, and telemetry-processing workflows over 303 transects conducted on 64 survey days from 2022 to 2026. (3) The ROV operated across soft-sediment and rocky habitats, currents of 0-3 kt, and underwater visibility of 0-10 m. surftrak held the ROV within 0.2 m of its target altitude for 96% of 21 h of survey transects, producing an approximately 1 m^2 standardized image footprint. Sufficient illumination and optimized camera settings yielded high-resolution imagery in visibility below 2 m, while topside power increased endurance and operational flexibility. Combining Doppler velocity log and underwater acoustic positioning data through the vehicle's extended Kalman filter improved navigation and post hoc transect reconstruction. During 2026 surveys, rov_flight_ops and rov_imagery_processing automated flight logging, log retrieval, fault diagnosis, and the sorting, development, and telemetry annotation of survey imagery. Dense kelp canopies nevertheless constrained vehicle operation, and downward-facing imagery provided limited observations of cryptic or obscured organisms. (4) We provide configuration-specific bills of materials, hardware and wiring documentation, software and firmware inventories, camera settings, open-source field and imagery-processing software, step-by-step field protocols, and pre- and post-dive checklists to support replication and adaptation of the framework. Together, these resources provide a field-tested starting point for expanding standardized benthic imaging while complementing diver surveys across kelp forests and other shallow coastal ecosystems.
Daecher, F.; Venkatesh, S.; Ayan, A.; Weerathunga, U. S.; Pushpakumara, T. V.; Abeywardana, V. P. M. K.; Thaufeek, U. L.; de Silva, S.
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Trail cameras have become ubiquitous tools for ecological data collection over recent decades. Despite progress in the development of automated algorithms and artificial intelligence for image classification, our ability to process large volumes of data remain limited by the need for trained human observers to make refined judgements. We provide guidance on placement of trail cameras for observing Asian elephants (Elephas maximus) and outline a protocol for training and testing naive human observers in performing image classifications (age/sex class and group composition) that cannot yet be automated. This process can be used to develop a high-throughput workflow capable of extracting useful data from large volumes of images. Our training material consisted of 14,007 images collected from 6 trail cameras around Udawalawe National Park in Sri Lanka from 2017-2019. In the first stage, expert observers (n=3) trained a group of inexperienced participants (n=4), who engaged in an iterative process to develop a protocol document. The document was then tested on a second set of subjects (n=6) each of whom classified 350 test images in four separate sequential batches using quantitative measures of precision and accuracy. The test set was sampled from 54,435 images from an additional 25 cameras. When compared to expert observers, they achieved a fair level of precision (Fleiss' kappa = 0.247) and 82.6% accuracy. Our approach can usefully be extended to other species and contexts.
Tillinghast-Raby, A.; Kravetz, M.; Kamau-Weng, J.; Weinnig, A.; Rodrigues, Y.; Varini, F.; Pieribone, V.
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Protecting deep-sea sessile communities as Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) requires accurate estimates of their spatial distribution and abundance. Existing computer-vision detection methods require careful calibration to avoid counting errors; multi-object tracking (MOT) theoretically offers a more robust alternative. In practice, however, poor lighting and turbidity limit the efficacy of purely kinematic MOT algorithms in deep-sea environments. At the same time, the intra-species visual homogeneity typical of deep-sea scenes means traditional per-frame appearance features are often too weak to maintain stable identities in deep-association MOT algorithms. In this paper we introduce JEPA-SORT, an MOT algorithm that injects V-JEPA 2.1 embeddings into detection-to-track association, to show that video world-model embeddings - which capture not only physical appearance but spatiotemporal trajectory across viewpoints - can help maintain stable identities on visually homogeneous specimens. We provide a benchmark of twelve ROV transects surveying deep-sea sessile communities and evaluate JEPA-SORT against standard MOT algorithms across a range of simulated optical environments. We also propose the Biodensity Utility Metric (BDU), which measures tracker performance in the context of downstream ecological modeling. JEPA-SORT outperforms all benchmarked trackers on IDF1, MOTA, and BDU and is competitive on specimen-count accuracy. Ablations indicate its advantage stems primarily from the discriminative power of world-model embeddings on visually homogeneous footage.
Deligkaris, K.; Sadeghi Tabrizi, M.; Stephens, G.
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Early detection of invasive species is critical to efficiently managing biological invasions. Passive acoustic monitoring combined with deep learning has become an effective tool for identifying invasive anurans from their species-specific mating calls. In practice, however, these systems still depend on manually retrieving recordings and running inference on a dedicated workstation, which delays detection at invasion fronts, especially on remote islands where frequent travel is impractical. Here, we present a lightweight convolutional neural network for detecting Rhinella marina and Polypedates leucomystax that can be used with low-power microcontrollers, enabling continuous, real-time monitoring of these invasive species. Our model achieved a mean invasive-species F1 of 0.87 with precision higher than 0.88 for both species, comparable to the performance of substantially larger models at a fraction of the model size. Cross-domain evaluation confirmed reliable detection on two out-of-training locations: Iriomote Island, Japan, and on an independent dataset from Australia, demonstrating generalization across recording conditions and biogeographic contexts, albeit with local threshold calibration for P. leucomystax at Iriomote. Our results demonstrate that effective acoustic detection of invasive species is feasible on self-contained, battery-powered devices, removing the dependence on server infrastructure and enabling autonomous early warning systems in remote protected areas.
Ostojic, M.; Pang, O.; Phelps, M.; Kovac, M.; Sethi, S. S.
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Ecoacoustic monitoring is enabling scientists and land managers to monitor and manage biodiversity more effectively and cost-efficiently in the face of human pressures and rapidly changing climates. Currently, most ecoacoustic surveys use manually deployed static sensors to record data, limiting the scale and reach of surveying efforts. Here we present a proof-of-concept autonomous drone platform that can use intermittent locomotion to conduct ecoacoustic surveys using an onboard sensor. Our custom prototype is able to fly, navigate, and avoid obstacles autonomously, land at a pre-determined location, record audio from an onboard microphone whilst static, before taking off and moving to the next sampling site. Autonomous navigation and operation enable greater sampling flexibility, reach, and scalability. Furthermore, by recording audio only whilst landed, noise from the drone's rotors does not mask signals or disturb animals, simplifying signal processing and downstream ecological analyses. We conducted trials in a scrubland habitat at the Knepp Estate in West Sussex, where our prototype demonstrated successful autonomous navigation and obstacle avoidance. Furthermore, we found that avian biodiversity data collected from the drone platform was comparable to that from traditional static acoustic sensor deployments, and that vocalisation patterns were not significantly impacted by the noise of the drone arriving or leaving a site. While scaled deployments of our technology would require further technical and regulatory challenges to be solved, our first demonstration of autonomous intermittent robotics-assisted ecoacoustic surveys lays the foundations for more cost-effective and far-reaching biodiversity surveys, with transformative potential for conservation, agricultural management, biosecurity, and more.
Secord, I. L.; Zhang, X.; Preston-Allen, R.; Banks-Leite, C.
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Global biodiversity loss is a consequence of habitat degradation and fragmentation caused by the expansion of the Anthropocene and the overexploitation of natural resources. Passive acoustic monitoring enables longitudinal assessment of biodiversity but generates massive datasets. Advancements in machine learning have enabled the development of convolutional neural networks capable of automating this process. We developed a lightweight 2D convolutional neural network capable of detecting echolocation calls of the greater sac-winged bat, Saccopteryx bilineata, an insectivorous aerial edge-foraging bat, across a tropical restoration gradient in Para, Brazil. The 2D-CNN model achieved a 97.84% accuracy and 100% precision. Deploying this model across 157,335 field recordings across 29 sampling points resampled over 3 years (2023-2025) yielded 2,098 positive detections of S. bilineata. Generalised linear mixed models revealed that time since reforestation significantly increased the odds of detecting S. bilineata ({beta} = 0.22, p < 0.001), and that detection probability was 2.14 times higher in restoration plots than in forest habitats ({beta} = 0.76, p = 0.0701). Acoustic hardware had a significant covariate influence in both fitted models ({beta} = 0.52, {beta} = 0.72, both p < 0.001). These findings demonstrate the practical applications of deep learning and bioacoustics to quantify habitat recovery and the value of restoration in regenerating functional ecological niches for aerial insectivores during early successional stages.
Kopecky, K. L.; Pavoni, G.; Corsini, M.; Nocerino, E.; Menna, F.; Brooks, A. J.; Schmitt, R. J.; Holbrook, S. J.
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Understanding the consequences of global change for our ecosystems requires reliable, accurate, and scalable tools for detecting ecological change. To this end, recent efforts have focused on scaling up the quantification of demographic processes from individual organisms (the fundamental ecological unit) to the larger spatial scales they inhabit to yield more precise and informative estimations of ecological change, especially in response to disturbance. Here, we describe a transferable workflow that combines robust underwater photogrammetry techniques with machine-learning-assisted image analysis to quantify demographic changes in coral colonies (growth, stasis, partial mortality, and complete mortality) through time on the reef landscape. We then demonstrate several analytical applications of this workflow that can be broadly applied to sessile and/or clonal organisms in other ecosystems. First, we tracked the fates of 3,162 coral colonies through a marine heatwave that caused substantial mortality. Second, our approach enabled detection of size- and taxon-dependent patterns in demographic changes from before to after the heatwave. Finally, for a subset (425) of these colonies, we further demonstrated how our method can be used to track fates across multiple years, including a year of change before and after the heatwave took place, revealing nuanced patterns of survival and mortality, as well as changes in size structure that occurred before and after the disturbance. Our workflow offers an important advance for increasing the accuracy of change detection on coral reefs and other ecosystems by linking demographic changes in individual organisms with spatially extensive image-based surveys through time.
Tabak, M.
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Motion-activated camera traps are an effective tool for monitoring animals, but a single study can produce millions of images, which must be analyzed before they yield data. The burden of analyzing them has led many teams to automate the work with computer vision. These models lose accuracy on images unlike those they were trained on, however, and a general model may not use the categories a project needs. Adapting a model to a project usually requires at least one of the following: many labeled images per species, programming expertise, a graphics processing unit (GPU), or uploading images to a remote server. I describe WildObserve, a desktop application that adapts to each project without any of these requirements. SpeciesNet suggests a species for each animal that MegaDetector finds, and WildObserve keeps SpeciesNet's feature vector for each one. A project model, a logistic regression on those features, then retrains in about a second as the reviewer labels, learning the project's own species and names. From the reviewed records, and optionally the suggestions, WildObserve also fits occupancy and abundance models. Images stay on the user's computer, and every record says which model suggested its species and who confirmed it. WildObserve processed 8.1 images/s on an Apple M1 Pro laptop. On Oregon Critters, a dataset released after SpeciesNet was trained, the project model's accuracy passed that of SpeciesNet with ten labels per species (balanced accuracy 0.783 against 0.751). I also tested occupancy on 63 cameras in Malawi that SpeciesNet had not seen. With 5% of the images reviewed and the project model's suggestions counted for the rest, species' occupancy estimates differed from those of a full review by 0.11 on average. From the reviewed images alone, they differed by 0.41. WildObserve takes a project from images to species records in its own categories and on to occupancy estimates, without writing code, needing a GPU, or sending images elsewhere.
Pugliese, B. D.; Paredes, J. A.; Ruiz, A. F.; Bowman, N. D.; Ersoz, E.; Martin, N. F.; Camiletti, B. X.
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Red crown rot (RCR), caused by Calonectria ilicicola, is an emerging soybean disease in the U.S. Midwest for which scalable approaches to characterize within-field disease distribution are lacking. This study evaluated high-resolution PlanetScope satellite imagery for mapping RCR-affected soybean canopies across 15 commercial fields in Illinois surveyed during the 2024 and 2025 growing seasons. A total of 2,921 georeferenced canopy plots were classified as asymptomatic or RCR-affected and paired with six multispectral bands and seven vegetation indices. Spectral differences between classes were evaluated using linear mixed-effects models, and seven machine-learning classifiers representing linear, tree-based, neural-network, kernel, and probabilistic approaches were compared using spatially independent leave-one-field-out cross-validation. RCR-affected canopies exhibited increased reflectance in the visible and red-edge regions, reduced near-infrared reflectance, and lower vegetation-index values relative to asymptomatic canopies. All classifiers showed strong discrimination, with ROC-AUC values ranging from 0.963 to 0.982. Regularized logistic regression achieved the highest overall performance, with an accuracy of 0.945, balanced accuracy of 0.945, F1-score of 0.948, and ROC-AUC of 0.982 at the optimized decision threshold. Permutation analysis identified EVI, NDVI, and red reflectance as the most influential predictors across representative model architectures. Satellite-derived probability and classification maps generally corresponded with symptomatic canopy patterns observed in high-resolution UAV imagery, although mixed pixels reduced precision near disease-patch boundaries. These results demonstrate the potential of high-resolution satellite imagery for within-field mapping of RCR-associated canopy symptoms across independent commercial soybean fields.
Dechaumet, L.; Puppo, C.; Carmignac, D.; Blusseau, S.; Marcotegui, B.; Decenciere, E.; Lacroix, G.; Le Galliard, J.-F.
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Plankton plays a fundamental role in aquatic ecosystems, influencing biogeochemical cycles and serving as a key food source for many organisms. Recent high-throughput imaging technologies enable the rapid acquisition of large volumes of microscopic images, creating new opportunities for monitoring planktonic ecosystems. However, the manual processing and annotation of the vast amounts of data generated by these devices remain time-consuming tasks. In this context, machine learning-based classification models offer a promising solution. In this data paper, we introduce a new labeled freshwater plankton dataset comprising approximately 88,000 images distributed across 43 taxa. We also present the labeling assistance method we used to facilitate dataset annotation. Finally, we present a baseline based on a convolutional neural network (CNN), which achieves a classification accuracy of 93% on our dataset.
Leon Gutierrez, L. F.; Ramirez, C.; Henriquez, A.; Contreras, S.
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Climate change is reshaping weed population dynamics, creating non-stationary management challenges for which static decision rules are insufficient. This chapter presents and evaluates an open surveillance toolkit of artificial intelligence tools for recognizing and mapping Ambrosia artemisiifolia (common ragweed) at complementary spatial scales, tested across two phenological phases (seedling, September 2024; adult, December 2024) in a lentil paddock in central Chile. At the field scale, a YOLOv11 detection model coupled with Slicing Aided Hyper Inference achieved mAP50 of 0.886. Cross-domain experiments revealed that single-site models collapse catastrophically when deployed in new geographies (mAP50 dropping to 0.108), but multi-domain training recovers performance to 0.874. At the satellite scale, PRESTO foundation model embeddings correlated strongly with ground-truth weed density (r = 0.739); geographically weighted regression explained up to 91% of local density variance. All methods are released as the ragweed-ai-toolkit (https://github.com/agroia-lab/ragweed-ai-toolkit), a modular open-source Python package enabling adaptation to new species and geographies.
Wallington, G.; Lighten, J.
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1. Re-identifying individual animals (re-ID) from their calls with machine learning (ML) could extend individual-based monitoring to species and areas hard to survey by capture and marking, and published studies often report re-ID accuracy above 90%. Two methodological practices can inflate these values: (1) attributing calls to individuals by territory, nest, tag or station, tying each animal to its own recording conditions, and (2) randomly splitting individual clips into training and test sets, allowing recording context to be shared between them. Each effect has so far been documented only in single-species studies. 2. We implement four diagnostics of how methodological choices affect re-ID accuracy: (1) splitting clips by recording session; (2) background tests using ambient recordings without the animal; (3) within-recording permutation and paired-clip tests where animals share recordings; and (4) open-set tests with thresholds set on other individuals. We applied them to 13 public datasets from nine species (eight birds, one bat), using BirdNET, 19 other neural networks trained on animal or general sound and 16 trained on human speech, each with one classifier. 3. Under session splits, BirdNET re-ID accuracy ranged from 0.16 to 0.97. Within one year, ambient sound alone carried substantial identity information for territorial chiffchaffs (BirdNET balanced accuracy 0.71, against 0.79 for song); background identification exceeded chance for 35 of 38 embeddings and controls. Count-matched random clip splits raised mean accuracy by 0.20 to 0.51 in 18 comparisons across three species. Where several animals shared recordings, only one of three datasets showed clearly that re-ID rested on the animal rather than the recording. With unfamiliar animals present and thresholds calibrated to target 10% stranger acceptance, across 36 neural networks and two scoring methods on wild session-split datasets, the highest median share of known birds' calls accepted and correctly named was 46%, using nearest-clip scoring with four enrolled birds; test-stranger acceptance could exceed the target. No neural network beat BirdNET on every dataset, and network rankings depended on layer choice. 4. The diagnostics need no new models and apply wherever a dataset holds what they require: session labels, background recordings, shared recordings or enough individuals. Re-ID accuracy reported without them can substantially overstate what acoustic re-ID achieves, and should not be used to plan population monitoring until they are applied.
Yajima, M.; Seitz, J. I.; Matthaeus, W. J.; Girish Nair, G.; Daly, L.; Caldararu, S.
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Plant phenology influences biotic interactions and the cycling of water, carbon, and nutrients, ultimately affecting global climate. Accurately quantifying phenological dynamics is therefore essential for ecological forecasting, yet estimates vary widely depending on data sources, smoothing approaches, and date-extraction techniques. For this reason, the selection of an appropriate processing pipeline requires benchmarking under controlled conditions. In this study, we use a Land Surface Model (LSM) to simulate ecosystem dynamics at four temperate forest sites under five lesser studied climate perturbations. The resulting synthetic dataset allows us to control for environmental conditions while comparing commonly used phenological detection methods (relative thresholds at 10%, 20% and 50%, highest rate of change, detection of inflection points in the curvature angle, detection of recovery and senescence points). Amongst tested methods, we find general agreement in responses to climate alterations, where inflection and low thresholds (10%) methods provide the closest match to the model predicted start of season, with a maximum discrepancy of 4 days. Higher thresholds (20%, 50%) are closer to the model predicted end of season, though discrepancies reach up to 10 days. High thresholds and rate-of-change methods also reliably detect the peak of season. We further show that some methods detect phenological responses missed by temperature-only type growing season, supporting the need for more realistic phenological representations in LSMs. Beyond evaluating extraction methods within a common framework, our study expands on the potential of using LSMs as sandboxes for ecological testing rather than solely predictive tools.
Pascual, K.; Bateson, M.
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Reliable morphological criteria for sexing birds without the need for invasive procedures are scientifically and ethically valuable. Smith et al (2005) reported that iris colour assigns the genetic sex of Starlings Sturnus vulgaris with 98% accuracy, and bill base colour with 100% accuracy when birds are in breeding condition, but these figures have not been tested independently. We applied their criteria to 31 captive Starlings in breeding condition, using three observers blind to genetic sex, two of them new to Starling sexing. Bill base colour correctly predicted genetic sex for all 29 birds scored, with complete observer agreement. Mean iris score was correct for 27 of 31 (87.1%), fewer than the 94 of 96 reported by Smith et al (2005) for birds in breeding condition (Fisher exact test, P = 0.031), although with so few errors in either study this comparison is imprecise. Observer agreement was high, so these errors reflect iris colouration conflicting with genetic sex rather than inconsistent scoring; bill base colour was correct for all four misassigned birds. Body mass and tarsus length classified 77% and 58% of birds correctly, their published thresholds missing in opposite directions. We conclude that bill base colour should be the primary criterion for sexing Starlings in breeding condition; the accuracy of iris colour should not be assumed to be 98%.
Iberl, K.; Kirschner, P.; Koc, A.; Hasakova, T.; Wellstein, C.; Stenc, J.
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Understanding floral visitor dynamics along elevational gradients is essential for assessing potential implications for pollen limitation and population genetic processes in fragmented populations of cliff-dwelling alpine endemics. Physoplexis comosa (Campanulaceae) is a chasmophytic paleoendemic restricted to vertical rock faces on dolomitic and limestone bedrock from 200 to 2,800 m a.s.l. The species exhibits a specific floral morphology with fused corolla apices, basal openings for nectar access, and secondary pollen presentation, yet its functional floral visitor assemblage has remained poorly characterized across the species' elevational range. In this pilot study, we tested a two-tier camera-monitoring setup combining action cameras for diurnal monitoring with Raspberry Pi-based systems equipped with IR illumination for combined diurnal and nocturnal recording. We conducted monitoring across five elevational sites (1,480 to 2,400 m a.s.l.) in the Eastern Alps. Recorded video material was downsampled and annotated using the Addax platform alongside manual cross-validation to record physical contact events. Preliminary results confirm the technical feasibility of continuous monitoring in steep terrain and suggest possible elevational variation in diurnal visitors, alongside nocturnal activity by Geometridae moths. Camera-based observations provided higher functional resolution and revealed a different visitor assemblage than previous eDNA metabarcoding trials. This proof-of-concept establishes a methodological foundation for forthcoming multi-day monitoring campaigns and complements ongoing studies of the mating system and population-genetic analyses.
Tomar, S.; Tolle, M. H.; Vos, M.
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Climate change will alter habitat suitability for plant communities in mountain ecosystems of the Western Himalaya. There will be contrasting magnitudes and spatial configurations of these changes for different plant species, and it is an important question how to translate these contrasts into effective climate-proof multi-species conservation planning. This study assessed current habitat associations and projected changes in suitable habitat for two contrasting species, Meconopsis aculeata and Rhododendron campanulatum, in Himachal Pradesh, India. Field surveys and spatially filtered occurrence records were combined with MaxEnt modelling using 10 non-collinear environmental predictors. Habitat suitability was projected to 2050 and 2070 under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways; SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 using HadGEM3-GC31-LL. Field observations showed contrasting habitat associations, with M. aculeata occurring mainly in open alpine herbaceous communities and R. campanulatum in subalpine woody communities. Elevation was an important predictor for both species while climatic predictors contributed differently to their relative importance and response patterns. Future projections indicated reductions in suitable habitat of approximately 25% for M. aculeata and 27-28% for R. campanulatum. Habitat-change maps showed heterogeneous patterns of loss, gain and persistence rather than uniform contraction, and centroid displacement remained small (7.7-8.5 km). We performed proximity analyses to show which currently suitable areas are most close to areas of future gain, in order to support the design of climate-proof protected areas. We discuss how interspecific differences in response are relevant to multi-species conservation planning that considers the spatial relationship between current high-suitability areas and the gain, loss and redistribution of future suitable habitat.
Carroll, D.; Stukonyte, L.; Harding, K. C.; Surviliene, V.; Jussi, M.
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In Baltic grey seals (Halichoerus grypus), interannual variation in sea-ice availability can alter the proportion of females breeding on land, generating substantial variation in local breeding density among years. We investigated preweaning survival, post-weaning residence, and weaning body condition at a Baltic grey seal land-breeding colony over two years with contrasting colony densities. Drone imagery provided repeated counts of pups in distinct developmental stages and estimates of moulting pup mass as an index of weaning body condition. A Bayesian state-space population model estimated substantially greater pup production in the high- (282.5 [95% CrI = 252.8 to 320.9] pups) than the low-density (188.3 [95% CrI =168.9 to 210.8] pups) year, but similar preweaning survival (0.66 [95% CrI = 0.53 to 0.81] and 0.67 [95% CrI = 0.56 to 0.79], respectively). In contrast, post-weaning residence differed substantially between the high- (11.8 [95% CrI = 9.2 to 15.7] days) and low-density (30.3 [95% CrI = 23.1 to 39.1] days) years. Greater exposure to other pups during early life was associated with lower weaning body mass ({beta} = -0.45 [-0.89 to -0.01], P[{beta} < 0] = 0.98). Together, these results suggest that the consequences of higher breeding density may emerge through poorer weaning condition and altered post-weaning residence even when effects on preweaning survival are not detectable.
Ganguly, D.; Sharma, A. D.; Ramakrishnan, U.; Srivathsa, A.
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Reliable estimates of population size are fundamental to understanding wildlife population status and informing conservation. Obtaining such estimates remains challenging for unmarked species, particularly in tropical countries where logistical and financial constraints limit intensive monitoring. The endangered dhole (Cuon alpinus), a highly social canid without natural markings, is one such species for which robust population estimates remain scarce. We estimated dhole density in the Valparai plateau, a human-dominated agroforest-forest mosaic in India's Western Ghats. We compared Spatially Explicit Capture-Recapture (SECR) models based on individual identification from fecal DNA and Space-to-Event (STE) models based on camera-trap detections. We additionally applied both approaches to individually identifiable leopards (Panthera pardus) to cross-validate STE versus SECR estimates. SECR estimated dhole density at 22 individuals per 100 sq.km, with STE estimates varying substantially depending on how the camera viewshed area was defined. STE estimates based on post hoc viewshed measurements, particularly after reducing the viewshed by 10%, were comparable to SECR estimates. In contrast, STE underestimated leopard density relative to SECR (7 versus 12 per 100 sq.km), although uncertainty intervals overlapped. Ecologically, our results indicate that human-use agroforest mosaics can support dhole densities comparable to, or exceeding, those reported from several Protected Areas, highlighting their potential importance for dhole conservation. More broadly, we argue that STE models may offer a practical and relatively inexpensive approach for baseline monitoring of dholes from camera-trap surveys, but their reliability depends strongly on accurate characterization of the effective viewshed and may vary across species and landscapes.
Robinson, L. W.; Jones, P. L.; Mauck, R. A.; Grady, J.; Taylor, L. U.
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Researcher disturbance can alter the behavior, survival, and breeding success of wildlife, with effects that are especially well-documented in waterbirds. Anecdotal reports suggest that disturbance can even cause cavity-nesting species to alter the structure of their nests. We used a long-term study of a burrowing seabird, the Leach's Storm-Petrel (Hydrobates leucorhous), to ask whether storm-petrels renovate existing burrows and whether such renovation is related to a history of researcher disturbance. Our study was conducted at the Bowdoin Scientific Station on Kent Island, New Brunswick, Canada, where in 2024 we measured the burrow architecture of 363 burrows, including length and structure for occupied and unoccupied burrows both inside and outside a long-term study site with consistent research activity. Of these, 150 burrows had been measured in 2006, allowing for direct longitudinal comparison of burrow architecture. Nearly all burrows changed in length over the 18-year study period (mean absolute change = 20.8 cm +- 18.2 SD). A linear model revealed two contrasting processes of burrow length change: more frequently occupied burrows grew longer, whereas initially longer burrows shortened towards mean burrow length (~50 cm) through collapse. Occupied burrows inside the long-term study site were on average 34% longer and significantly more complex than burrows adjacent to the site, suggesting that researcher disturbance directly or indirectly reshapes burrows. Overall, these results show that storm-petrel burrows are shaped by cycles of renovation and subsequent collapse that may be exacerbated by human disturbance. Given ongoing population declines in storm-petrels and other cavity-nesting seabirds, this study emphasizes the need to balance scientific research with minimizing disturbance, particularly in long-term studies.