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Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation's content profile, based on 10 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Mapping California's Urban Forest at Scale: An Error-Adjusted Canopy Time Series for Monitoring Change

Pawlak, C. C.; Yost, J. M.; Ventura, J.; Guizan, G.; Arnold, S.; Okin, G. S.; Cavanuagh, K. C.; Fricker, G. A.; Ritter, M. K.; Gillespie, T.

2026-05-07 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.04.722774 medRxiv
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Statewide tracking of urban tree canopy change is essential for evaluating progress toward policy targets, but detecting real change requires both high-resolution mapping and rigorous uncertainty estimation. We produced a four-year canopy cover time series for all California census-designated places using 60-cm NAIP aerial imagery and a U-Net deep learning model trained with semi-automated LiDAR-derived labels and manually annotated tiles. Canopy cover and change were estimated using stratified, error-adjusted area estimation, enabling comparisons across years. Statewide canopy cover showed a modest negative trend from 2016 to 2022 (Sens slope: -0.60% per year), but confidence intervals included zero across all groups and climate zones, indicating that trends were not statistically distinguishable from no change. Urban canopy cover was consistently lower than non-urban canopy by approximately six percentage points, and canopy cover was highest in the Northern California Coast and lowest in the Southwest Desert. Residential parcels accounted for 55-56% of canopy within incorporated urban areas across all years, indicating that statewide canopy increase goals will require engagement with private landowners. Error adjustment substantially altered canopy estimates relative to raw pixel-count totals, with direct implications for AB 2251 canopy tracking where baselines and targets drawn from unadjusted maps may not reflect true canopy extent. This open-source workflow is transferable to future NAIP acquisition years and other U.S. states, providing a scalable framework for long-term urban forest monitoring.

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Towards a general Detector of terrestrial Arthropods in Natural backgrounds

Remy, E.; Carlier, A.; Massol, E.; Kacimi, R.; Chaine, A. S.; Cauchoix, M.

2026-05-08 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.06.723207 medRxiv
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Widespread arthropod declines pose risks to ecosystem functioning and agriculture. Assessing this decline or potential remediation implies the need for standardized and scalable population monitoring. Image-based methods, including camera traps and citizen science programs, are increasingly used, but the volume of data collected requires automated analysis. Robust arthropod detection is essential for individual counting or fine-grained classification, yet current datasets and algorithms do not address the vast morphological diversity across arthropod species and often overlook the variety of photographic contexts, such as differences in background, lighting, and image composition, in which arthropods are captured. To address this gap, we developed an arthropod detection dataset, covering all terrestrial families present in France with available validated images on the iNaturalist platform (749 families). To achieve this, we employed an iterative workflow in which a YOLOv11 model pre-annotated images -- using one representative species per family-- followed by manual correction and model retraining. Repeating this process progressively reduced annotation effort and improved model accuracy. The final outcome consists of a publicly available curated detection dataset and a robust arthropod detector for natural background scenes. The detector achieves an F1-score of 0.91, demonstrating strong performance despite substantial interspecific morphological variation and heterogeneity in photographic contexts. We further demonstrated the taxonomical universality of the model showing high F1-score and IoU averaged at the class (0.79, 0.85) and order level (0.82, 0.86) and also a good detection generalizability (F1-score>0.90, IoU>0.83) on species, genera and families never encountered by the model during training. Finally, we show how this model can be improved to generalize to new datasets using data augmentation, complementary training data or fine-tuning and increase detection of small objects. In particular, we report performance of the improved models on three use cases largely used in non lethal insect monitoring: (i) diurnal pollinator monitoring through citizen science or (ii) flower and nocturnal insects monitoring through smartphone time-lapse of a UV-illuminated white panel. These results mark an important step toward automated analysis of arthropod images in natural contexts, from both large-scale automated monitoring approaches or from citizen science monitoring programs.

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Integration of Deep-Learning and Species Distribution Models for Classification of Animal Species of the Brazilian Fauna

Oliveira, M. B.; Bernardino, H. S.; Vieira, A. B.; Barroso, A. A.; Augusto, D. A.

2026-05-08 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.06.723365 medRxiv
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The automated classification of animals from photos is important in ecology and conservation biology for organizing and understanding the immense diversity of species, as well as facilitating effective conservation and management practices. It is equally important for disease surveillance systems, allowing prompt detection of anomalies in species distributions and boosting citizen-scientist platforms by making user-reported data more accurate and convenient. Image classification uses photos and can also rely on the geographical locations of animals to improve performance. While image classification models have difficulties in classifying low-quality images, unbalanced datasets, and with a small number of images, species distribution models have difficulty in classifying species that coexist in a given region. We propose here strategies for combining image classification models based on deep neural networks with species distribution models using genetic algorithms. The proposal is applied to a real-world dataset comprising fifteen classes of animals from the Brazilian fauna obtained from Fiocruzs citizen-scientist Wildlife Health Information System (SISS-Geo). The SISS-Geo photos portray the reality of animals in their environments, with varying quality, and pose numerous difficulties for classification. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed integration consistently outperforms standalone models. While individual SDMs achieve Top-1 accuracies of 27.79% (MaxEnt) and 31.76% (Bioclim), and CNN-based classifiers reach 58.17% with ResNet50 and 64.13% with ResNet-152, the hybrid strategies yield substantial improvements. The genetic algorithm-based integration with a single global weight achieves up to 67.96% Top-1 accuracy, whereas the class-specific integration using fifteen parameters attains the best overall performance, reaching 69.03%.

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Tuning into the city soundscape: Optimizing Convolutional Neural Networks for avian acoustic identification in the neotropics and evaluating their performance against established monitoring approaches.

Ardila-Villamizar, M.; De Clippele, L. H.; Dominoni, D. M.

2026-05-13 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.10.724049 medRxiv
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Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have become increasingly prominent in biodiversity monitoring due to their strong performance in accurately detecting species from sound recordings, overcoming some limitations of traditional methods such as point-counts. Yet, their use in urban ecosystems remains limited, highlighting the need for frameworks that identify modelling strategies to optimize their performance in these complex soundscapes. Here, we evaluated how preprocessing and labelling strategies, detection thresholds, sample size, and architecture affect the performance of CNNs for bird identification in urban tropical ecosystems. We also assessed its potential by comparing CNN-derived biodiversity estimates with those from point-counts and acoustic indices. For this, we used one week of recordings collected along urbanization gradients in five Colombian Andes cities to developed 11 multiclass CNN models varying in spectral representation, labelling strategies, training data source and backbone architecture. The best-performing model, evaluated with F1-scores, combined Log-Mel spectrograms, multispecies labels, ecosystem-specific recordings, a probability threshold of 0.3 and a ConvNeXt backbone with its performance generally improving with sample size. Although CNNs and point counts detected partially distinct assemblages, CNN-derived species richness was comparable to that estimated from point-counts. In addition, the Normalized Difference Soundscape Index (NDSI) was positively associated with richness, suggesting its potential as a biodiversity proxy in tropical urban soundscapes. Overall, by identifying effective modelling designs and monitoring strategies, our study advances the development of robust biodiversity assessment frameworks in urbanized ecosystems in the Neotropics whilst also providing methodological guidance for future research and practical insights for wildlife monitoring and conservation.

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Sound Advice: A calibration framework for defining detection space in Passive Acoustic Monitoring

Sharma, P.; Kezia, K.; Seshadri, K. S.

2026-05-22 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.20.726556 medRxiv
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Passive Acoustic Monitoring (PAM) has emerged as a transformative tool for biodiversity assessment in recent years. Despite widespread acceptance and application for conservation-related outcomes, the synergistic effects of hardware limitations, signal propagation, and environmental conditions on how far a signal can be reliably detected remain critically understudied. We quantified changes in signal detectability using Autonomous Recording Units (ARUs) in a tropical agroecosystem using playback experiments of standardised pure-tone (1-8 kHz) in fallow rice paddy fields. We deployed a four-ARU array and broadcast signals over a 50- 300 m distance gradient, and modelled operative detectability of signals using a binomial Generalised Linear Mixed-effects Model (GLMM). Our findings show that the detection space of an ARU is highly frequency-dependent and environmentally modulated. Detection probability for low-frequency signals (1 kHz) decreased rapidly (50% threshold at [~]100 m), whereas mid-range frequencies (4-6 kHz) occupied an acoustic window that remained reliably detectable up to 250 m. Higher relative humidity significantly enhanced overall detection, while increasing temperatures disproportionately reduced low-frequency detectability. The orientation of the ARU to the signal source was important as the detection probability declined from 81% for recorders facing the source (0{degrees}) to 14% for rear-facing units (180{degrees}). Our findings underscore the importance of determining the detection space before undertaking PAM. We propose a Decision Support Framework that provides a pathway for researchers to integrate focal taxa traits with technical constraints to determine detection space and optimise study designs when using PAM for monitoring biodiversity and assessing conservation action.

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Addressing Data Fragmentation in Biodiversity: A Workflow for integrated Species Distribution Models

Perrin, S. W.; Adjei, K. P.; Mostert, P.; Togunov, R. R.; Herfindal, I.; Topper, J. P.; Grytnes, J.-A.; Chipperfield, J.; O'Hara, R. B.; Finstad, A. G.

2026-05-21 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.19.721053 medRxiv
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AimA comprehensive understanding of the spatial distribution of biodiversity is hindered by fragmented datasets, sampling biases, and inconsistent observation protocols. Here, we present a workflow that integrates disparate datasets to produce large scale maps of biodiversity metrics as a basis for management-relevant information tools. We use integrated species distribution modeling (iSDM) to account for sampling biases and disparate data collection techniques, taking advantage of the vast numbers of open datasets available in data aggregators like GBIF. LocationNorway (excluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen) TaxonVascular plants MethodsThe workflow consists of four main steps: data acquisition, data integration, integrated species distribution modelling (iSDM), and the production of derived outputs. Input data include structured surveys, opportunistic observations, and environmental covariates. These are standardised and integrated into a point-processed based iSDM framework to produce species richness maps, associated uncertainties, and sampling effort maps. The outputs are further processed to identify biodiversity hotspots or to summarise species-environment relationships. The workflow used vascular plant data from Norway, combining occurrence-only and presence-absence datasets with environmental covariates. Outputs were generated at a spatial resolution of 500 x 500 meters, balancing accuracy, computational feasibility and relevance for management decisions. High-performance computing resources were utilized for model fitting and predictions. A subset of available data was used to validate the species richness maps. ResultsWe produced detailed maps of species richness, uncertainties and sampling intensity across Norways heterogeneous landscape, incorporating 1218 species in our final results. The species richness patterns highlight patterns consistent with previous mapping efforts. Validation showed an increase in model accuracy when compared to models which did not use an iSDM framework. The workflow highlights limitations in the infrastructure of the currently openly accessible data, particularly the need for more structured presence-absence datasets and standardized metadata. Main conclusionsThis study underscores the potential of workflows that integrate disparate datasets for biodiversity modeling. To maximize accuracy and utility, future efforts should focus on improving data standardization, the publication and collection of more structured data, and fostering data-sharing collaborations. Advances in the workflow itself, including optimising modelling covariates and integrating more comprehensive spatio-temporal aspects, will also increase the relevance of the outputs. These advances will increase our ability to estimate species richness with a precision and accuracy that can reliably inform conservation and management decisions.

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A comparison of BirdNET, expert listening and acoustic indices to monitor avian diversity in a Mediterranean agricultural landscape

Akoglu, I.; Bacak, E.; Bilgin, S.; Boyla, K. A.; Duran, M.; Akcay, C.; Ertor-Akyazi, P.

2026-05-21 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.20.726349 medRxiv
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Passive acoustic monitoring poses an immense potential to assess avian diversity in many habitats, including agricultural landscapes. At the same time, automated recorders generate large datasets which present a challenge for processing and effectively assessing biodiversity. Methods such as manual listening by experts, automated detection algorithms like BirdNET and calculating acoustic indices all present different trade-offs in assessment of biodiversity through passive acoustic monitoring. In the present study we recorded soundscapes in a low-intensity agricultural landscape in western Turkiye in all four seasons. Two expert ornithologists listened to a subset of these recordings identifying bird species from the recordings. We also ran the same sample of recordings on BirdNET to compare BirdNET detections with expert detections and calculated acoustic indices for each recording. The results showed that BirdNET detected more species than experts, although some may not be reliable detections. Two acoustic indices (bioacoustic index and acoustic complexity index) were correlated positively with number of species detected by experts and one (normalized difference soundscape index) with number of species detected by BirdNET but the correlations were modest. The results show that acoustic indices may have limited value in detecting biodiversity and automated detection algorithms may do a better job, although these may need to be trained with local data to improve detection and classification.

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LeafyVGG-16: Transfer Learning for Plant Disease Detection with Cyber Risk Analysis

Chiwele, N.; Sweeney, E.; Hossain, K.

2026-05-18 plant biology 10.64898/2026.05.13.724946 medRxiv
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Plant disease detection using deep learning is essential for precision agriculture, enabling early and automated crop health monitoring. This study proposes an end-to-end transfer learning pipeline, LeafyVGG-16, for multi-class classification of plant diseases and nutrient deficiencies using a tomato leaf dataset. The framework integrates data preprocessing, augmentation, and a VGG-16 backbone with a two-stage fine-tuning strategy. The proposed model is evaluated against CNN, DenseNet-121, Inception-V3, EfficientNetB0, and ResNet-50, achieving an accuracy of 0.93 with precision, recall, and F1-scores of 0.93, 0.90, and 0.92, respectively. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of transfer learning for fine-grained plant disease recognition. We further evaluate model robustness under adversarial cyber attacks to assess deployment reliability in agricultural systems. Under Fast Gradient Sign Method (FGSM) attacks ({epsilon} = 0.01- 0.05), the model shows an accuracy drop of 1%-7.5%, while Projected Gradient Descent (PGD) attacks ({epsilon} = 0.05, step size = 0.005, 10 iterations) produce similar degradation, highlighting the models vulnerability to adversarial perturbations. These findings highlight potential security and reliability risks in AI-based agricultural decision-making systems. Future work will focus on improving robustness and cyber-resilience and extending this framework to other crops for secure and context-aware deployment in resource-constrained environments.

9
Segmentation and profile-based classification of movement strategies from animal tracking data

Kadlec, I.; Bartak, V.; Selimovic, A.; Kutal, M.; Dula, M.; Stier, N.; Meissner-Hylanova, V.; Peskova, L. B.; Sladecek, M.; Vorel, A.; Signer, J.

2026-05-14 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.13.724011 medRxiv
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O_LIClassifying animal movement strategies from GPS tracking data is essential for understanding space use, population dynamics and conservation planning. However, existing approaches either require strong parametric assumptions about trajectory shape, large labelled datasets (i.e. expert-annotated) for machine learning, or lack formal uncertainty quantification. These limitations create barriers for researchers working with novel species or limited sample sizes. C_LIO_LIWe present a profile-based classification framework consisting of three steps. First, trajectories are segmented using breakpoint detection applied to Net Squared Displacement (NSD) time series. Movement metrics are then extracted from each segment and classified by comparing them to empirically derived behavioural profiles via Z-score distances transformed to softmax probabilities. Bootstrap resampling quantifies uncertainty in the resulting classifications from both training and test data. We validated the framework through simulation experiments and applied it to GPS tracking data from two ecologically contrasting species: gray wolf (Canis lupus;43 individuals) and northern lapwing (Vanellus vanellus;15 individuals). C_LIO_LISimulations showed that 5-10 training segments per movement strategy suffice for reliable classification, with overall accuracy of 91.1%across residential, floating and dispersal strategies. Segment duration of 30-60 days was required for confident discrimination of residential and floating behaviour. For wolves, the framework clearly distinguished residency, floating or dispersal (91.2%of segments classified with >50%probability). For lapwings, migration was identified with high confidence, while residential-floating discrimination reflected genuine ecological ambiguity confirmed by domain experts, with bootstrap confidence intervals transparently flagging uncertain cases. C_LIO_LIThe profile-based framework provides an accessible, interpretable alternative to parametric NSD fitting and machine learning approach, requiring modest training data while delivering probabilistic classifications with honest uncertainty estimates. An R package (moveprofile) implementing the complete workflow is freely available. The framework is applicable to any tracked species where distinct movement strategies can be identified by experts knowledge. C_LI

10
How comparable across management goals are grassland monitoring methods?

Messick, H.; Lichtenberg, E. M.

2026-05-20 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.18.726054 medRxiv
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QuestionsEcological monitoring, repeated collection of ecological data, is essential to document how ecosystems respond to change. In grasslands, different vegetation monitoring protocols are used across disciplines, making it difficult to address multiple management objectives or research questions. We asked four questions about how three common vegetation monitoring protocols compare. (1) How do the protocols differ in how they collect data? (2) How do the protocols differ in their utility? (3) In what ways do vegetation measurements quantitatively differ across protocols? (4) What are each protocols strengths? LocationThis study was conducted on working ranches in the Southern Great Plains with vegetation consisting mainly of native forbs and grasses. MethodsWe implemented three protocols at each site: (1) the Rangeland Analysis Platform (RAP), (2) the Grassland Effectiveness Monitoring (GEM) protocol, and (3) a typical pollinator ecology survey protocol. We qualitatively compared each protocols utility and quantitatively compared cover measurements that each produced. ResultsAll three protocols displayed positive associations within cover categories, but differed in actual cover measurements. The RAP protocol, which uses remote sensing, measured the highest total vegetation cover. The GEM protocol, a line-point intercept method, had more capability to capture fine-scale cover patterns. The GEM protocol measured the most bare ground while the Pollinator protocol measured more forb coverage. ConclusionFine-scale methods like the GEM protocol are most appropriate to address objectives that require capturing small patterns that would otherwise be overlooked with methods like quadrats or remote sensing. Remote sensing is advantageous when monitoring large areas or inaccessible land, but may over-estimate cover. The Pollinator protocol is best equipped to address questions regarding flower abundance and richness. Similarities among protocols can facilitate synergy across disciplines for more effective monitoring. We emphasize the importance of denoting a clear scale and scope of monitoring objectives before selecting methods.

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A decade of disease survey data in a progeny-provenance trial: Dothistroma needle blight in Scots pine

Perry, A.; Moore, B.; Jones, S.; Kaur, S.; Crampton, B.; Gurung, A.; Stockan, J. A.; Cottrell, J. E.; Beaton, J. K.; Cavers, S.

2026-05-14 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.12.724484 medRxiv
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Longitudinal data on disease susceptibility in forest trees are rare but essential for understanding host-pathogen dynamics and genetic variation in susceptibility traits. We present a long-term multisite common garden dataset quantifying susceptibility of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris) to Dothistroma needle blight. The dataset comprises annual disease assessments collected from the same trees across 11 years, spanning 168 families and 21 Scottish provenances. This design enables partitioning of genetic and environmental sources of variation, evaluation of temporal stability in host response, and estimation of variance components and narrow-sense heritability of susceptibility. The data support analyses of phenotypic plasticity, provenance-level responses, and interactions between disease susceptibility and other adaptive traits. This resource will facilitate predictive modelling of host susceptibility under current and future environmental conditions.

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An explainable machine learning consensus framework for robust estimations of environmental effects on population dynamics

Dhananjanie, A.; Thompson, H.; Vercelloni, J.; Warne, D. J.

2026-05-13 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.10.724190 medRxiv
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Explainable machine learning (ML) methods are gaining increasing attention in environmental and ecological research for their ability to reveal relationships between environmental drivers and population dynamics. However, there remain questions on the reliability of these tools, especially given recent research shows that these explanations can be highly sensitive to model architecture. In ecology, it is typical to use a single ML model, and a comparative evaluation of sensitivity of explainability for different ML approaches is overlooked. In this paper, we develop a novel framework that quantifies explanation consistency between multiple ML model architectures. This framework provides a discrepancy measure for each model prediction, with high discrepancy indicating substantive explanation disagreement across models and low discrepancy indicating strong consensus in explanations across models. We then demonstrate that low explanation discrepancy aligns well with ground truth mechanism. Furthermore, high explanation discrepancy provide a mechanism to identify areas for model refinement and further investigation by domain experts. We do this by using a simulation study based on synthetic coral cover data that incorporate spatio-temporal variability driven by known disturbance effects. Our method provides a quantitative approach to assess the sensitivity of explainable ML in the absence of ground truth. As a result, this enhances the utility of ML approaches in conservation and ecological management. While we focus primarily on ecological modelling for coral reefs, our methods are generally applicable to other ecological and environmental modelling settings.

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Phenological regularity, not functional traits, determines whether tropical tree species can be mapped from imaging spectroscopy

Ball, J. G. C.; Jaffer, S.; Laybros, A.; Prieur, C.; Jackson, T.; Madhavapeddy, A.; Barbier, N.; Vincent, G.; Coomes, D. A.

2026-05-08 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.06.722428 medRxiv
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AO_SCPLOWBSTRACTC_SCPLOWO_LIAirborne imaging spectroscopy enables species-level classification in hyperdiverse tropical forests, but accuracy varies enormously among species. We asked which ecological and evolutionary attributes make a tropical tree species spectrally separable. C_LIO_LIUsing 3,256 field-verified crowns spanning 169 species in a hyperdiverse moist forest in French Guiana, we tested seven hypothesised determinants of classification accuracy at species, pairwise, and individual-crown scales using random forest, beta regression, elastic net, and binomial GLMM analyses. C_LIO_LIPhenological regularity - the strength and consistency of seasonal leaf-cycling - was the single strongest predictor of separability, emerging as the top-ranked variable across all analyses. The presence of congeneric species in the classification pool also reduced accuracy, while broader phylogenetic isolation contributed in multivariate models. At the crown level, crown area was the strongest predictor of correct classification, while liana infestation reduced odds of correct identification by 38%. Leaf chemical traits did not predict separability. C_LIO_LIIt is the consistency of a species ecological signal - its phenological rhythm, spatial sampling, and freedom from canopy contamination - rather than any single functional trait, that determines whether it can be reliably mapped from imaging spectroscopy. C_LI

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Estimating Daily Taxon-specific Tree Pollen at a 1-km Resolution in Atlanta, GA from 2020 to 2024

Zhang, X.; Wang, W.; Saburi, Y.; Paduch, H. R.; Jin, Z.; Zhu, K.; Liu, Y.

2026-05-18 plant biology 10.64898/2026.05.14.725192 medRxiv
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While tree pollen is a major trigger of allergic respiratory conditions and different taxa exhibit varying allergenic potentials, the lack of high-resolution, taxon-specific exposure metrics have limited our ability to identify which local pollen taxa are primarily responsible for respiratory illness. Traditional pollen monitoring networks, which have an intermittent sampling schedule, are not ideal for examining the delayed effects of pollen exposure due to the missing days. In this study, we developed a modeling framework integrating atmospheric dispersion effects, taxa-specific phenology, and machine learning to predict daily counts of 13 tree taxa in the five-county Metro Atlanta area, Georgia at a 1-km resolution from 2020 to 2024. Machine learning model performance was validated with daily pollen counts collected by a multi-site monitoring network equipped with automated pollen sensors. Findings showed that Betula and Quercus pollens exhibited higher predictive performance than other taxa, with R2 values ranging from 0.69 to 0.92 and from 0.71 to 0.89, respectively. Our 1-kilometer prediction data provides gapless exposure metrics to understand the spatial and temporal variability in pollen exposure, can facilitate investigation of urban pollen hotspots and support epidemiologic studies of pollen-related respiratory outcomes.

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Crouching tiger, hidden dangers: Avian fatality rates reduced by red-blade patterning at a species-rich African wind farm

Simmons, R. E.; Martins, M.; Peralta, F. C.

2026-05-07 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.04.722424 medRxiv
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Avian collision rates are certain to rise as renewable energy industries roll out wind and solar farms to reduce fossil fuel impacts in biologically diverse areas of the world. Technological solutions are often sought to decrease mortality rates, but for developing nations automated shut downs are expensive, and alternatives required. A promising route is to increase blade visibility to birds using high contrast colours. Despite the success of the solid black-blade experiment in Norway only one other black-blade field-study in the Netherlands has explored this possibility, with no significant results. We tested the use of colour-patterned blades at a species-rich, 37-turbine, wind facility in Hopefield, South Africa. Two broad "signal red" stripes were applied to a single blade at four high-fatality turbines, in 2023 by Umoya Energy. Avian fatality rates were compared before and after painting using the Before-After-Control-Impact (BACI) approach. Seventy-five fatalities of 23 species of raptors, passerines and wetland species over 24 months were compared for the same 20 turbines after patterning with two sets of controls: (i) their four nearest neighbours (NN) and (ii) all 16 controls (AC). Over 32 months 25 fatalities were recorded, 23 occurred at the controls and only two at the patterned turbines. Testing with Bayesian Generalized Linear Models (BGLMs) revealed a median 83% reduction in fatalities at the patterned blades for both the NN turbines (credible intervals 14% - 98%) and the AC comparisons (30% - 97%). Bayes Factors (BF) revealed strong statistical support for NN (BF = 49.9) and AC comparisons (BF = 159). There was little evidence that birds avoiding patterned turbines increased fatalities at the neighbouring turbines as there was a small median 15% increase in fatality rates when NN controls were compared with other controls, and weak statistical support (BF = 0.15). Among 14 raptor species recorded on site, 10 species have suffered fatalities. Of seven individuals killed prior to treatment at the four patterned blades, only one was killed post-treatment suggesting blade patterning is equally effective at reducing raptor fatalities. Our results show that patterned blades had a high probability (83%) of reducing fatalities with strong statistical support despite the small samples. This supports the Norway experiment in a high diversity African setting, but with red patterns not a solid black design. The strong effect of red stripes may arise from both the high contrast it provides and the possible warning effect that red may elicit. We call for additional experiments to differentiate the effect of patterns and colours for the optimal design to reduce avian-turbine collisions.

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A Root Foundation Model for Zero-Shot Segmentation

Smith, A. G.; Lamprinidis, S.; Wlaszczyk, A.; Petersen, J.

2026-05-18 plant biology 10.64898/2026.05.14.725129 medRxiv
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Foundation models pre-trained on massive datasets have demonstrated impressive performance, but in some specialised domains have been found to have lower accuracy. Domain-specific foundation models target a particular domain such as retinal or plant images. These domain-specific models have shown inconsistent results and the benefit to root segmentation is unknown. We train and evaluate the first domain-specific foundation model for root segmentation. Evaluation uses a leave-one-dataset-out design across nine diverse root datasets with two architectures. The domain-specific model segments unseen root datasets zero-shot (without any fine-tuning on the unseen dataset), achieving a mean Dice of 0.636 versus 0.698 for individually fine-tuned models, that is, 92% of fine-tuned Dice on average and above 90% for 5 of 9 datasets. We also test few-shot transfer learning. Fine-tuning on only 10 patches, the domain-specific model recovers 95% of its full-data Dice on average, versus 69% for a general pre-trained model. With full target-data fine-tuning, the two perform comparably, with mean improvements of +0.011 Dice for MobileSAM and +0.022 for M2F Swin-S, neither significant (Wilcoxon p = 0.150 and 0.064). We release our pre-trained MobileSAM root foundation model for use with RootPainter, enabling fully automatic root segmentation on new datasets with an ordinary laptop or desktop computer, with no need for annotation or training.

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Pixel-Based Skin Tone Estimation on Dermoscopy: A Dual-Rater MST Benchmark and Feasibility Study

Kumarasinghe, A.; Bui, V.; Ghanbarzadeh, R.

2026-05-17 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.13.26353004 medRxiv
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Skin-tone labels are absent from public dermoscopy benchmarks such as the International Skin Imaging Collaboration (ISIC), making it impossible to audit whether clinical AI performs equitably across skin tones. While several recent works estimate skin tone automatically from clinical photography and selfies, we ask whether this approach is feasible on dermoscopy, the primary imaging modality of these benchmarks. To answer this, we make three main contributions. First, we release MST-Derm, a dual-rater Monk Skin Tone (MST) annotation benchmark on 500 ISIC 2018 images. Raters were given an explicit unrateable option for crops where the skin surrounding the lesion was too occluded to label confidently. We find that 60% of images were marked unrateable, yielding a 193-image consensus subset (quadratic-weighted Cohen's Kappa = 0.82). Second, we conduct a systematic feasibility study of three pixel-based MST annotation pipelines spanning the principal families in prior work: palette matching in perceptual colour space, robust colour statistics, and projection to a 1D colorimetric scalar. All three pipelines produce ordinal signal above chance (95% confidence intervals on quadratic-weighted Kappa exclude zero). However, ISIC 2018's extreme light-skin bias leaves 82% of the evaluation set at MST 2, giving a constant "always predict MST 2" baseline an accuracy floor the methods cannot overcome. To separate algorithmic signal from dataset bias, we evaluate on a class-balanced subset. The best method reaches quadratic-weighted Kappa = 0.43 against the trivial baseline of Kappa = 0.00, confirming the signal is genuine. Third, we diagnose this performance ceiling. We trace the bottleneck to two causes: dermoscopy's specialised illumination physically compresses the colour range on which lighter skin tones differ, and ISIC's dataset skew makes standard absolute-accuracy metrics uninformative. We conclude that while pixel-based colour features carry real MST signal on dermoscopy, current performance is insufficient for autonomous annotation. We release the benchmark, annotation protocol, all prediction runs, and analysis code to facilitate the development of robust skin-tone estimators, a vital prerequisite for accurately auditing fairness and mitigating bias in dermatological machine learning.

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Wildlife feeding increases risk of male wild turkeys (Meleagris gallopavo) to hunter harvest

Lashley, M.; Leipold, E.; McDonald, B.; Baruzzi, C.

2026-05-04 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.30.721985 medRxiv
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Wildlife feeding during the wild turkey (Meleagris gallopavo) hunting season is legal in many states within the United States, but hunting turkeys with the aid of bait is unlawful in most states. The most common policy to prevent wildlife feeding from acting as bait is to restrict hunting within a defined radius. However, the effect of wildlife feeders on turkey harvest risk and the effectiveness of distance restrictions on mitigating that influence have not been investigated. During 2024-2025, we used GPS transmitters to track 30 adult male turkeys during the spring hunting season on private land with active feeders in Florida, USA, where hunting turkeys within a 91 m radius of a feeder was unlawful. We used Cox proportional hazard models to link risk of hunter harvest with unique feeders visited daily, number of feeders within a home range, and average morning distance and roosting distance to feeders at multiple temporal scales. Hunters harvested 53% of the tagged turkeys. Risk of hunter harvest increased with the number of unique feeders visited the previous day and after the first three days of hunting season with the number of active feeders within a home range. As distance from the most recent roost site and average morning distance to a feeder decreased, risk of hunter harvest increased. We estimated that risk of hunter harvest would be reduced by over 50% if distance restrictions were increased from 100 m to 200 m, by nearly 75% with an increase from 100 m to 300 m, and by nearly 90% with an increase from 100 m to 500 m. To completely eliminate the influence of wildlife feeders on risk of hunter harvest would require a restriction distance well beyond a 500m radius, which is impractical given that this radius would result in an area twice the average private landowner property size in the region. Thus, if wildlife feeding during the turkey hunting season is to be allowed, it will act as bait, in which case, the acceptable level of its influence as bait can be achieved with the appropriate hunting radius restriction.

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From guidelines to practice: Operational criteria for identifying old-growth forests in northern Europe

Monkkonen, M.; Brazaitis, G.; Brumelis, G.; Jonsson, B.-G.; Lohmus, A.; Makipaa, R.; Syrjanen, K.

2026-05-21 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.19.724771 medRxiv
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Primary and old-growth forests are globally valued for their biodiversity, ecosystem services, and cultural significance. The EU Biodiversity Strategy and EU Forest Strategy for 2030 require strict protection of remaining primary and old-growth forests, yet they cover only about 3% of EU forest area and remain highly threatened. The European Commissions guidelines define old-growth forests using three main indicators--native tree species, deadwood, and large/old trees--supported by five complementary indicators. Implementing these indicators for boreal and hemiboreal old-growth forests in northern Europe currently lack science-based operational criteria that meet EU legal standards. We provide recommendations for implementing European Commissions indicators with science-based operational criteria and thresholds to minimize misclassification and ensure cost-effective conservation. Key thresholds include native species dominance, [≥]5% deadwood of the total wood volume, and [≥]20 large/old trees per hectare. Additional guidance is offered for regeneration patterns, structural complexity, microhabitats, and indicator species, emphasizing that all indicators should be applied collectively.

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Human and pet multimodal cues intensify wildlife fear responses

Hirobe, K.; Senzaki, M.

2026-05-16 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.13.725053 medRxiv
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O_LIFear of humans can drive persistent changes in wildlife behavioural and life-history traits, with cascading effects on entire ecosystems. Human multimodal cues and pet cues may influence impact of such fear, yet no study has tested how wildlife fear responses change when human acoustic cues and pet visual and acoustic cues are added to human visual cues. Filling this gap is important for managing human and pet outdoor activities while conserving wildlife. C_LIO_LIHere, with dogs representing the pet, we tested the effects of human and dog cues on fear responses of wild sika deer (Cervus nippon yesoensis) in approximately 800 km2 area, northern Japan, using alert distance (AD) and flight initiation distance (FID). First, we measured AD/FID with an approaching surveyor alone and with additional cues. Then, we fitted linear mixed-effects models while controlling for key covariates. C_LIO_LIFrom analyses with 266 observations, AD was estimated at 80.0 m with the human visual cue alone, and dog barking increased AD by 18.4m. FID was estimated at 57.1 m with the human visual cue alone, and human voice and the dog decoy increased FID by 11.3m and by 8.5 m, respectively. C_LIO_LIThese results demonstrate that human multimodal cues and pet cues can increase prey fear responses. Our findings also suggest that dog walking may expose wildlife to simultaneous human and pet cues more consistently than predator co-occurrence typically does in nature. The increase in FID with human acoustic cues, in contrast to previous studies, suggests that animals may shift cue weighting depending on predator species, potentially using human voices to help identify the threat as human. C_LIO_LIPrevious studies show that multimodal predator cues increase prey fear responses, and our findings extend this flamework to fear responses towards humans. Our findings can inform more tolerant management of human recreation and pet walking in sensitive areas. Reducing human and pet cues through signage, guidance, and zoning may prevent flight and associated energy expenditure, whereas mitigating vigilance may require behavioural guidance and spacing between pet-walking visitors. Overall, shaping how humans and pets behave may be more practical than blanket restriction. C_LI